The Causes of the Great Depression (1929–1939)

Stock Market Index (1928–1945)

U.S. Unemployment Rate (1928–1945)

Root Causes

Speculative Excess & Margin Trading

In the 1920s, stock prices soared on optimism and easy credit. Investors bought on margin — putting down 10% and borrowing 90%. When confidence cracked, margin calls forced mass selling, amplifying the collapse. The market fell 89% from peak to trough (1929–1932).

Bank Failures & Credit Collapse

As stock values crashed, banks that held stocks collapsed. Bank runs followed — depositors rushed to withdraw savings. By 1933, 9,000 banks had failed, wiping out savings and strangling credit. Businesses couldn't borrow; consumers couldn't spend.

Income Inequality & Weak Demand

The 1920s boom concentrated wealth at the top. The poorest 60% earned only 24% of income. When consumers have no cash, they can't buy goods. Factories cut production and laid off workers, deepening the spiral.

Trade Wars & Global Contagion

The U.S. passed the Smoot-Hawley Tariff (1930), raising import duties to protect American farms and factories. Other countries retaliated. Global trade collapsed 65% by 1934, hitting exports and deepening depression worldwide.

Structural Weaknesses

Agriculture was already depressed in the 1920s (farm prices had fallen 40% since WWI). Manufacturing had overexpanded; auto and steel plants ran far below capacity. The economy was fragile, not resilient.

Policy Failures

The Federal Reserve tightened money in 1931 — the opposite of what was needed. President Hoover believed in balanced budgets and resisted government spending. These decisions prolonged the crisis. Recovery only came with Franklin D. Roosevelt's New Deal (1933) and massive WWII spending (1941+).

The Recovery

Unemployment fell from 24.9% (1933) to under 2% by 1943 — driven by New Deal public works and WWII industrial mobilization. The stock market recovered slowly, not reaching 1929 levels until 1954.

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